What’s Really Happening in the Market? A Real Estate Reality Check – June 2025
By Leigh Martinuzzi | Martinuzzi Property Group – eXp Australia
If you’re watching the media headlines lately, you’d be forgiven for feeling confused. Some reports are screaming “boom,” others are warning of a slowdown. The truth, as always, sits somewhere in the middle — and that’s what I want to help unpack for you in this week’s market update.
Here on the Sunshine Coast, we’re continuing to see a healthy mix of buyer demand, tight supply, and cautious optimism from sellers. But before we dive into the local feel, let’s take a quick look at what’s been happening nationally.
Why You Can’t Just Trust the Data
A great article by Michael Yardney this week served as a timely reminder: don’t make property decisions based on just one data point. Property is a long-term game — and while month-to-month data might suggest a trend, it rarely tells the full story.
For example, median prices might appear to be dipping, but that doesn’t always mean values are falling. It could simply reflect fewer high-end sales or a shift in stock type. Always look at broader patterns, including supply, buyer sentiment, finance trends, and days on market.
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Auction Volumes Dip – But Don’t Panic
CoreLogic’s recent auction report highlighted a dip in auction volumes across capital cities last weekend — partly due to the King’s Birthday long weekend. Clearance rates also came in a bit lower. But that’s not uncommon during holiday periods.
On the Sunshine Coast, where auctions aren’t as dominant as in Sydney or Melbourne, we didn’t see much change. Private treaty sales remain the preferred method, and in some pockets, particularly those under $900K, competition remains fierce. Properties in this price range continue to attract multiple offers, especially when marketed well.
The Housing Market’s ‘Paper Gains’ Debate
Michael Matusik raised an important issue this week: the idea of taxing unrealised capital gains. While this concept is only speculative right now, it could signal the government’s growing interest in reforming property taxation.
Matusik argues that taxing gains before a property is actually sold (based on rising values alone) could discourage long-term investment and create unnecessary financial pressure for homeowners. It’s something to watch closely — especially if you’re an investor or thinking long-term with your property.
So, Where Are We Really Headed?
According to recent market forecasts, property prices across most parts of Australia — including regional and coastal areas — are still expected to trend upwards in the second half of 2025. That’s backed by improving consumer confidence, a potential for further rate cuts, and the simple reality that supply isn’t keeping up with population growth.
Here on the Sunshine Coast, demand remains solid. Enquiries are up, especially for well-presented homes under $1 million. Listings are still limited, and when quality homes hit the market, they’re moving relatively quickly — particularly if there’s a strong digital marketing campaign behind them.
Final Thoughts
It’s easy to get caught up in the headlines or held back by fear of making the “wrong move.” But if you’ve got a clear plan, whether you’re buying, selling, or holding, now’s the time to stay informed — not overwhelmed.
And remember, good decisions are made when you combine quality data, local insights, and a strategy tailored to your goals. If you need help navigating the market or want to chat about your next move, I’m here for it.
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